Sir John Curtice: “MRP shows Labour may be swept away in tsunami of unpopularity.”

An interesting piece (£) by Sir John Curtice in today’s edition of The Times. He starts by pointing to the iniquity of the first-past-the-post viting system at the 2024 general election. Labour won 412 seats with 35 per cent of the vote. Reform, in stark contrast, secured only five seats with 15 per cent of the vote.

But with Reform in a strong end enduring poll lead over the main parties, the tables would turn. If a general election were held tomorrow – a big “if”, of course – Labour would have just 144 seats. The Conservatives would have 45 seats, fewer than the Lib Dems (78), despite still being ahead of them in votes.

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