Already the winner of several Lying Feminist of the Month awards, I don’t think Laura Bates (aka Special Snowflake) is capable of speaking or writing without lying. My thanks to Jim for pointing us to a piece in yesterday’s edition of the (always painfully woke) Financial Times. The briefest of scans of Snowflake’s predictably woeful piece led me to two outright lies.
The first is that feminism isn’t anti-men. Seriously, that’s what she wrote. The second relates to the relative likelihood of men in the UK (a) being raped, and (b) being falsely accused of rape, which she claims is ‘estimated’ at 230:1. She pleads for ‘real statistics’ to be used. A feminist making such a plea – the irony is off the scale, but would be lost on her if ‘journalists’ in the mainstream media challenged her on the matter, which of course they never will.
It happens that William Collins covered the ‘230 times more likely…’ claim in The Empathy Gap (2019). On Amazon the ebook is retailing for £4.32. Like most liars, Snowflake is fond of repeating her lies. In the paperback, the relevant section is found over pp.528,529:
If the CPS takes the prize for the most reprehensible misinformation, Laura Bates, proprietor of the web site Everyday Sexism, takes the prize for the silliest. She is currently touring UK schools telling boys that ‘a man is 230 times more likely to be a victim of rape than to be falsely accused of rape’. She adds, ‘they’re being fed all these misleading lies’, (Aitkenhead, 2019). [J4MB: A typically appalling feminist-compliant interview by the ‘journalist’ Decca Aitkenhead for The Sunday Times.] Indeed they are, and Ms Bates is responsible for some of them.
To see how silly her claim is, suppose for sake of argument the CPS’s figure of 0.6% were the correct rate of false rape allegations. In the year ending September 2018 there were 50,470 reports to police of rape of females (or 56,688 if rape of males is included). The number of false allegations would thus be 340. If a man were truly 230 times more likely to be a victim of rape than to be falsely accused of rape, there would have to be 340 x 230 = 78,000 rapes of males annually, 28 times the actual current rate of reporting adult male rapes to the police. But, I have argued above, the lower bound to the false allegation rate is in the range 2% to 10%. That gives us 1,134 to 5,669 false allegations per year, and hence – if Bates were right – an implied number of male rapes annually of 261,000 to 1,300,000, the latter being 470 times greater than the reporting rate to the police of adult male rapes. Err, no, I don’t think so.
Bates’s claim is absurd. The false allegation rate only has to exceed 5%, as seems almost certain, for the probability of an adult man being falsely accused to exceed his probability of being raped. Ms Bates was attempting to minimise the significance of female offenders (false accusers) by eclipsing them with male offenders (rapists). This is what feminists always do.
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